Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000149 0.000165 0.000182 0.000202 0.000224 0.000248 0.000276
2025-08-24 0.000118 0.000140 0.000166 0.000199 0.000239 0.000286 0.000347
2025-08-31 0.000097 0.000121 0.000152 0.000192 0.000245 0.000312 0.000404
2025-09-07 0.000085 0.000111 0.000145 0.000193 0.000258 0.000345 0.000472
2025-09-14 0.000077 0.000105 0.000142 0.000196 0.000274 0.000383 0.000551
2025-09-21 0.000069 0.000096 0.000135 0.000193 0.000279 0.000406 0.000610
2025-09-28 0.000061 0.000088 0.000126 0.000185 0.000277 0.000418 0.000652
2025-10-05 0.000057 0.000084 0.000124 0.000188 0.000290 0.000452 0.000735
2025-10-12 0.000054 0.000081 0.000123 0.000192 0.000307 0.000494 0.000833
2025-10-19 0.000050 0.000077 0.000118 0.000190 0.000311 0.000515 0.000899
2025-10-26 0.000047 0.000074 0.000117 0.000192 0.000324 0.000553 0.000999
2025-11-02 0.000044 0.000070 0.000113 0.000190 0.000328 0.000575 0.001073
2025-11-09 0.000041 0.000067 0.000110 0.000189 0.000335 0.000605 0.001168
2025-11-16 0.000038 0.000063 0.000106 0.000186 0.000338 0.000629 0.001256
2025-11-23 0.000034 0.000058 0.000100 0.000180 0.000335 0.000639 0.001316
2025-11-30 0.000032 0.000056 0.000098 0.000180 0.000344 0.000675 0.001438
2025-12-07 0.000031 0.000055 0.000098 0.000183 0.000359 0.000725 0.001599
2025-12-14 0.000029 0.000052 0.000094 0.000180 0.000361 0.000746 0.001695
2025-12-21 0.000027 0.000048 0.000089 0.000173 0.000354 0.000748 0.001748
2025-12-28 0.000026 0.000047 0.000088 0.000175 0.000367 0.000796 0.001921
2026-01-04 0.000025 0.000047 0.000089 0.000180 0.000385 0.000857 0.002137
2026-01-11 0.000024 0.000045 0.000086 0.000177 0.000387 0.000882 0.002261
2026-01-18 0.000023 0.000044 0.000085 0.000179 0.000400 0.000936 0.002476